DeepMind Researcher's Summary of 2025 (zhengdongwang.com)

In a thought-provoking reflection, a DeepMind researcher outlines expectations for AI and machine learning advances by 2025. The piece draws from past predictions and speculates on significant milestones like AI systems excelling in prestigious competitions, passing professional exams like the bar and MCAT, and the emergence of ubiquitous chatbots capable of passing the Turing test. Notably, the researcher emphasizes that AI data center investments will account for over 90% of U.S. GDP growth in early 2025, raising questions about public perception and bipartisan concerns over data center impacts despite remarkable technological advancements. The implications for the AI/ML community are profound, as the researcher highlights the central role of computational resources, or "compute," in driving progress. With AI models performing increasingly complex tasks at a pace that parallels Moore's Law, the landscape of work and interpersonal relationships is set to transform. The piece warns, however, against complacency; while enthusiasm about AI's trajectories is high, skepticism remains essential. Overall, this reflective piece serves as a critical reminder of the unpredictable nature of AI development and its societal ramifications, urging the community to balance optimism with caution.