Estimated Tokens to Merge (gmays.com)

A developer recently announced a shift from traditional time-based estimates to "estimated tokens to merge" (ETM) while working with AI coding agents. ETM represents the token budget necessary for an AI agent to design, implement, and refine a feature until it's merge-ready, which aligns better with an AI-centric development approach. This methodology encourages a more deliberate and structured design process, employing techniques like explicit architecture, test-driven development, and comprehensive documentation to ensure robust outcomes. The developer noted that this shift not only optimizes the coding workflow but also enhances collaboration with the AI, ultimately improving code quality and efficiency. This transition is significant for the AI/ML community as it emphasizes the evolving role of developers in an AI-assisted environment. Instead of merely writing code, developers must focus on defining the purpose and methodology behind coding tasks, which may reshape skill sets in the tech field. As AI tools like Cursor and Sonnet 4.5 advance, the potential of these agents to augment human capabilities will likely redefine software development processes, pushing developers to adapt their practices to leverage AI's strengths while maintaining oversight and quality. This shift towards an AI-native mindset could pave the way for more effective and innovative development approaches in the industry.